A new survey by Emerson College reveals more good news for Republicans ahead of the 2022 midterm elections as well as for former President Donald Trump should he decide to run again in 2024.
“Not only do Republicans hold more than a 5-point lead in a generic ballot over Democrats, former President Donald Trump holds a 3-point edge over President Joe Biden in a hypothetical 2024 presidential race, the poll found,” Newsmax reported, citing the results.
Registered voters were asked if they would vote for a Republican or Democrat congressional candidate in the 2022 midterms:
- Republican 47.1%.
- Democrat 41.8%.
- Undecided 11.2%.
If the presidential vote were held at the time of the Emerson poll, Trump would be in good shape:
- Trump 44.9%.
- Biden 41.9%.
- Someone else 11.1%.
- Undecided 2.1%.
“Biden struggles among independent voters: Just 28% approve of the job he is doing, while 64% disapprove,” Emerson pollster Spencer Kimball noted in the survey analysis Tuesday.
“When looking at the midterm generic congressional ballot, independents break 28% for Democrats, 42% with Republicans, and 31% are undecided,” he continued.
Trump notably has a sizable 12-point favorability advantage over Biden:
- Trump somewhat or very favorable 59 percent
- Biden somewhat or very favorable 47 percent
“Notable demographic differences include region and education,” Kimball added. “Trump leads Biden among both suburban voters, 47% to 38%, and rural voters, 59% to 35%, while Biden holds 54% to 30% support among urban and city voters.
“Regarding education, Trump leads among those without a college degree, 51% to 33%, while Biden leads among those with a college degree or more 52% to 37%.”
It’s just the latest polling data indicating political danger signs for Democrats and for Biden.
According to RealClearPolitics’ average of polls earlier this week, Trump has a better favorability rating than either Biden or Vice President Kamala Harris, the latter of whom is underwater to both Trump and Biden.