(USA Features) Former President Donald Trump still polls very strongly and remains the top choice of Republicans while support for his predecessor, Joe Biden, continues to sag, according to a new McLaughlin Group survey.
In addition, he would be the odds-on favorite should he be running against Vice President Kamala Harris.
“The voter optimism of the past few months has stalled in the new national poll of 1,000 likely voters that we posted this week and may once again be headed in the wrong direction,” pollster John McLaughlin wrote in a column at Newsmax.
“Over the past few months, more and more voters thought that the US was headed in the right direction, but this month the wrong track exceeded right direction 48% to 47%,” he continued, adding that the divide was extremely “partisan.”
“Democrats and liberals say that we’re headed in the right direction 80%-15% and 75%-20%, respectively,” while “Republicans and conservatives say that we’re on the wrong track 78%-20% and 79%-19%, respectively.”
Middle-of-the-road voters, Independents, and suburbanites, however, are trending against the president’s party as well, the pollster noted.
He wrote that “undecided voters for Congress say that the US is on the wrong track 47%-33%; independents 55%-39% and suburban voters 53%-44% also say wrong track.”
Biden’s approval-disapproval rating in May was 56% to 43%, McLaughlin said; this month it has fallen slightly — 55% to 44%, which he said is problematic for a president who gets “overwhelmingly positive media coverage.”
At the same time, Harris’s “favorable to unfavorable rating remains polarized with exactly the same 47% to 48% rating that she had last month.”
The numbers for Trump, meanwhile, are all good:
- “72% of all Republicans want to see Donald Trump run for President again in 2024.”
- “80% of Republican primary voters, including independents who vote in Republican primaries, would support President Trump for the Republican nomination if he ran again in 2024.”
- “84%-12%, Republican primary voters, again including those independents who vote in Republican primaries, would vote for him in the 2024 general election.”
- “If the primary becomes a crowded field with 15 candidates, Trump obliterates the field with 55% of all votes and no one else gets double digits. Ron DeSantis, who says he won’t run against Trump, gets 9%, Mike Pence 8%, Ted Cruz and Candace Owens get 4% each, Nikki Haley and Mitt Romney get 3% each and 7 others get 1% each.”
“If President Trump decides not to run in 2024, it’s a very different race with Governor DeSantis growing to 24% of the vote, Mike Pence at 19%, Donald Trump, Jr. 15%, Ted Cruz 6%, Mitt Romney 5%, Nikki Haley 4%, Ivanka Trump 4%, Candace Owens 3%, Marco Rubio and Liz Cheney at 2% each and 6 others at 1%,” McLaughlin wrote.
Trump also wins in a matchup against Harris, should Biden decide not to run again in 2024, leading “49% to 45% – the same as he did last month.”