A new Monmouth University survey is bad news for Democrats — any Democrat running against President Donald Trump later this year, in particular.
The survey, taken February 6-9, 2020, among 827 registered voters, showed that the majority, 66 percent, believe that Trump will “definitely” or “probably” be reelected in November, versus 28 percent who say he will “definitely” or “probably” lose.
Perhaps not surprisingly, most Republicans are extremely confident the president will win reelection.
The survey found that 59 percent of GOP respondents said Trump’s reelection is “definite,” while an additional plurality, 34 percent, listed his chances as “probable.”
Meanwhile, Democrats are not confident in whomever their party’s challenger will be.
Just 11 percent of respondents felt their candidate would “definitely” beat the president, while 44 percent say he or she will “probably” win.
“On the other side of the coin, 38% of Democrats actually think it is more likely than not that Trump will win a second term. Just 4% of Republicans think Trump will lose to the Democrat,” Monmouth reported.
There was some questionable news for the president, however.
While the majority of registered voters believe Trump will win in November, 55 percent believe it is time for someone else to take office, while 42 percent say Trump should be reelected.
“While most voters want to see Trump turned out of office, his steady ratings through the entire impeachment process and memories of how 2016 turned out suggest that few are willing to bet against him,” said Monmouth University Polling Institute director Patrick Murray.
He added that the chaos surrounding the Iowa caucuses “did not exactly inspire confidence in the party’s ability to find someone who can take on the president.”
The survey found that enthusiasm about this year’s presidential contest is also higher than it was in 2016.
“Enthusiasm is up compared to 2016, but optimism has split along party lines. These conflicting findings in public opinion seem to reflect the muddled state of the race on the Democratic side right now,” said Murray.